Libya, Fireflies and Lanterns
Maybe I'm wrong but I fear that on the recent elections in Libya, not a few journalists and commentators in the international press have been mistaken. And anyway I do not think they put the right lenses for interpreting reality. First of all because they have idealized the victory of Mahmoud Jibril, regardless of the fact that the former Prime Minister of the transitional government of the CNT, as a prominent member of the tribe's most important country, that of the Warfalla, was the glue of a coalition of 58 parties and local lists, of which perhaps she should better check the composition and interests. And secondly because the mainstream reading has focused too much on an alleged conflict between "Islamists" and "liberals" that is likely to be misleading, even if it meets the clichés with which the potter to the West since the pontificate Springs Arabe. 
It is not a "liberal" Jibril, how many have written - if anything, is a "moderate," as he likes to call himself - and his coalition was the bearer of interests especially local, clan and tribal peoples, who are the real winners of these elections . To realize enough to wait for the results of the examination, disclosed in these last days . But almost all messengers have preferred to stay in Tripoli only time to get a rough idea of the electoral environment - this is the press, beauty! - And came to conclusions a little 'hasty. None - apart from the usual Lorenzo Declich - has noticed, therefore, that in Misurata swept a unified list that town and in many other important places (Sebha, Ajdabja, Brega, Kufra) the local listings have obtained excellent results, reaching the first or second . No one then - apart from Lorenzo Cremonesi - has paid attention to a series of episodes, apparently the record, behind the successive elections: first the ' arrest in Zintan two emissaries of the ICC, the International Criminal Court, then the clashes in Kufra , the nth, including Tubu and Zwai and finally the quasi-war that erupted between the militias of Misrata and Bani Walid: all episodes that were to prove not only the power of the armed militias - even if the war is long over - but the fact that localism and tribalism, which today are finally free to express themselves and "playing politics" are the salt of the new Libya's Colonel orphan.
Finally, we must not forget that in the National Congress, the new Parliament, as many as 120 seats out of 200 were reserved for "independent", that is to say to the candidates of the area, some of which have achieved the highest performer of the national parties and thus become the ' the balance. Need to verify the agreements and affiliations of each to understand what majority will lead the Libya of tomorrow. But it is certain that with respect to the verdict of the polls - which allocated 40 seats in the coalition against Jibril 18 of the Justice and Construction Party, linked to the Muslim Brotherhood - there will be some reshuffling of the cards. So who cheered for the defeat of "Islamism" - until the ascriverne about Gaddafi, with some pirouette too - might also be denied.
It 'true that political Islam has recorded disappointing results but the only real loser is Wasat, bankrolled by Qatar and the party led by former jihadist and former military commander of Tripoli Abdel Hakim Belhaj, betrayed even in its strongholds of Cyrenaica, from Derna. It is different from the evaluation done to the Muslim Brotherhood, which, if anything, has not been able to catch the mood of the most concrete and unspiritual the Libyans, therefore failing to break through. That said, it should be remembered that the game in play in this election was not Islam yes / no Islam, as is some simplifications of the mainstream Western press have hinted. The political agenda of the Libyans now has many other priorities related to the economy and redistribution (social and territorial) of the wealth produced by gas and oil. And on that won the coalition of Mahmud Jibril, who not coincidentally is on good terms with foreign investors and international financial institutions. It 'good to leave home so our ghosts, when you go to Libya. Because our paurei are different from them.
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Fireflies for irons (the laity have done well everywhere).
Perfect! Although the front of Jibril really got 40 seats out of the 80 political parties can not do anything if you do not win a majority of independent directors. But what they think about these? People voted on the basis of personal knowledge or local loyalties, because, from what I can tell, no one, not even the parties have had time or ability to present a program. It 'been a humoral vote, the election of the rest had to be done because the intolerance of the CNT "unelected" was too common weapon in the hands of pro federalists or separatists of Cyrenaica.
There is to be kept in suspense for what will happen, other than to point out Libya as a model for neighboring countries.
I repositioned here on the day of the Unheard: an ambassador killed, with other victims of the Consulate in Benghazi. I find it odd that the event took place on the day that the Prime Minister had to be chosen, after much delay. A name, in eight, not predictable, given the many Independents. Am I wrong? It is not at all significant?
Another thing amazes me. An ambassador that lingered in the consulate instead of settling in the embassy in the capital. I know from Benghazi had witnessed the uprising in the months when we tried to overthrow Gaddafi, but since there is a transitional government and was accredited ambassador because he was staying in the "Frondeurs" Cyrenaica .....
ps. Gene Cretz, Ambassador raised earlier this year, will be thinking were hoping to have a narrow escape.